
University of Bergen
Department of Philosophy
Postboks 7805
5020 Bergen
Norway
Tel: +47 55 588 960
Email: michael.baumgartner@uib.no
Philosophy of Science • Causation • Coincidence Analysis
I work on causation, mechanistic constitution, logical formalization, and configurational methods, with a particular focus on Coincidence Analysis.
I am a full professor at the Department of Philosophy of the University of Bergen and part of the Toppforsk-programme. My PhD is from the University of Bern (2005). My work spans philosophy of science and philosophy of logic, especially questions of causation, causal reasoning and discovery, mechanistic constitution, and logical formalization.
My publications include an introduction to the philosophy of causation entitled “Kausalitaet und kausales Schliessen” (2004) as well as numerous papers on causal reasoning, regularity theories, Coincidence Analysis (CNA), interventionism, non-reductive physicalism, determinism, argument reconstruction, and configurational modeling in the social sciences.
2026 CNA training workshop: UC Berkeley, June 8 to 11, 2026. Tentative programme here.
5th international CNA conference: UC Berkeley, June 12 to 13, 2026, with support by the Peder Sather Center.
New paper published: M. Baumgartner and L. Casini (2025), Constitution, Non-Causal Explanation, and Demarcation, Ergo, 12:14, doi: 10.3998/ergo.6924.
cna 4.0.3 released on CRAN: The update includes new measures for evaluating sufficiency and necessity in model building.
Humaniora Strategy Grant: I received a Humaniora Strategy Grant from the University of Bergen to explore the potential of AI models for causal data analysis with CNA.
Preprint on new evaluation measures: L. De Souter and M. Baumgartner (2025), New Sufficiency and Necessity Measures for Model Building with Coincidence Analysis, Zenodo, doi: 10.5281/zenodo.13619580.